MLB Picks 4/17

Phillies ML
The Giants have taken two of three in this series, but the Phillies are still the better team overall. Cristopher Sanchez (3.12 ERA, 26.0 K%, 9.87 K/9) has been excellent to start the year and gives Philly a clear edge. Jordan Hicks is still adjusting as a starter and is prone to short outings, which could tax the Giants’ bullpen. The Phillies hold a strong platoon advantage and should jump on Hicks early. Despite the heavy juice, the Phillies are the right side to even up the series.

Orioles ML
Tanner Bibee has been sharp against weaker lineups but struggled against real competition, allowing 9 hits and 4 homers to the Angels. The Orioles have a .308 career average against Bibee and have done damage against the Guardians’ bullpen, which has regressed from its 2023 form. Tomoyuki Sugano (3 starts, 14 IP) has looked solid and can hand it off to a Baltimore bullpen that’s allowed just 7 runs in the first 2 games. With both teams evenly matched, the Orioles’ edge on the mound makes them a strong home dog.