Kyle Kuzma Over 24.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds
Kuzma has fallen short of this mark in four straight games, leading to a decreasing prop line. However, he has been consistently taking double-digit shots and has shot over 40% in his last six games.
Tonight, he faces a middle-of-the-pack Nuggets defense against forwards, making it a great spot for him to snap out of his slump and hit the over. Given his season-long PAR average near 24, expect a bounce-back performance.
Max Christie Under 22.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds
After hitting his PAR line in 10 straight games, Christie has failed to clear it in his last two. His season average sits at just 14.2 PAR per game, and he has shot below 31% in his last two outings.
With limited minutes and poor shooting, this is a strong spot to take the under on his prop line.
Jimmy Butler Under 30.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds
While the Warriors have thrived since adding Butler, his individual stats haven’t been spectacular. He has stayed under similar PAR lines in four straight games and has only taken 10+ shots once in that span.
Butler is averaging just 27.5 PAR this season, which is well below his career numbers. Additionally, the Magic are one of the best defensive teams in the league, allowing the lowest PAR average to forwards. Given the matchup and his recent numbers, fading Butler is the best play.
Yesterday’s Free Pick Record: 2-0