My spreadsheet continues to be hot for my The DFS Must Starts list.
If you used my top play at each position and the Seattle DST, you would have scored 104.12 points and were probably on you way to easy cash.
Last week was one of lower scoring weeks where you just needed a couple good plays to make the green on DraftKings. I played 10 lineups on the Main Slate and 8 of them cashed.
Let’s see if the spreadsheet stays hot this week.
I will posting my Top Plays on our FREE Blitz Sports Media Discord an hour before the first game tomorrow. And it’s easy to join: https://discord.gg/ubewtTAnzJ
Onto Week 14’s top plays!
QB DFS Must Starts
Josh Allen, Buffalo ($7,700, 18.5 percent rostered)
I’m going right back to Allen after he had a pedestrian 17.72 points last week at Pittsburgh.
But it’s something about cold weather and playing against another top fantasy QB that brings out the best from Allen.
In games where Baker Mayfield, Patrick Mahomes, Drake Maye and Lamar Jackson were his opposing QB, Allen has averaged 34.9 fantasy points in those four games this season.
Now he faces Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow ($6,500, 1.6 percent rostered), and I expect to see similar results from Allen as the game total is 53.5 points despite the weather.
Chalky Play: Mayfield, Tampa Bay ($5,700, 9.8 percent rostered)
Value Play: Tyler Shough, New Orleans ($4,600, 8.9 percent rostered)
RB DFS Must Starts
Josh Jacobs, Green Bay ($6,800, 21.7 percent rostered)
Jacobs went on a TD scoring spree from Week 4-10 before a knee injury ended the streak in Week 11.
He missed one game and returned for the Packers’ Thanksgiving win against Detroit, but he was not the focal point of the offense in the victory. Jordan Love ($5,800, 3.8 percent rostered) threw 4 touchdown passes in the win.
But now the Packers face NFC North Division rival and leader, Chicago, at blustery Lambeau Field.
The Bears have given up 22.2 DK points to RBs this season and Jacobs should be fully rested and ready to lead the Packers offense again. He did have 83 yards rushing in the Thanksgiving win.
Chalky Play: De’Von Achane, Miami ($8,800, 21.5 percent rostered)
Value Play: Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland ($6,400, 11.6 percent rostered)
WR DFS Must Starts
Christian Watson, Green Bay ($5,200, 13.4 percent rostered)
Using Watson and Jacobs may not be the most optimal play in DFS, but I played Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown in two lineups in Week 12 that paid some nice dividends. So, why not the two Packers together?
And Watson may actually have more upside than Jacobs with his lower salary and the Bears’ struggles against WRs this season.
Chicago gives up 37.2 DK points to WRs and Watson could eat a large portion of that number. He has seen 22 targets the last three weeks. He was a few less drops away from having a big game on Thanksgiving as he only hauled in 4 of his 10 targets.
Chalky Play: Puka Nacua, LA Rams ($8,700, 18.2 percent rostered)
Value Play: Devaughn Vele, New Orleans ($3,700, 9.8 percent rostered)
TE DFS Must Starts
Harold Fannin Jr, Cleveland ($3,700, 11 percent rostered)
My TE Top 10 on my spreadsheet is a hard one to understand this week, but I think it has more to do with Trey McBride’s ever growing price tag that he’s not in the Top 10.
He is priced at $8,000 which would make him the fourth most expensive WR if he was in that group.
So I’m going with my spreadsheet’s top play of Fannin Jr.
The rookie is the Browns No. 1 TE as he has played more snaps than David Njoku for three straight weeks, including the last two weeks where Fannin Jr. played 90 percent or more of the snaps.
Fannin Jr. has seen 41 targets in his last 6 games and with scoring at a premium in the Tennessee-Cleveland game (33.5 point total), the TE will probably be the focal point of the Browns passing game.
Chalky Play: Tyler Warren, Indianapolis ($5,000, 11.4 percent rostered)
Value Play: Colston Loveland, Chicago ($3,200, 4.5 percent rostered)
DST DFS Must Starts
Cleveland ($3,700, 8.4 percent rostered) home against Tennessee ($2,900, 14.5 percent rostered)
New York Jets: NY Jets ($2,500, 6.8 percent rostered) home against Miami
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