As the 2025 fantasy football season approaches, understanding shifts in Average Draft Position (ADP) can provide some of the biggest values on draft day. Some players who were highly touted in 2024 have seen their stock plummet due to performance, injuries, or changes in team dynamics. Below, we highlight five of the most significant ADP fallers from 2024 to 2025, analyzing why their value has dropped and whether they could be potential bargains or players to avoid.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, Arizona Cardinals)
Marvin Harrison Jr. entered the 2024 season as one of the most hyped wide receiver prospects in recent memory, drafted 16th overall (WR9) in the early-to-middle second round. However, his rookie year was a letdown, finishing as the WR30 with inconsistent performances. Overshadowed by fellow rookies Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr., who are now projected as first-round and top-half picks, Harrison’s ADP has slid to 45th overall (WR23), a mid-to-late fourth-round pick.
Despite the disappointment, Harrison’s situation isn’t as dire as it seems. As the Cardinals’ best pass-catcher, he boasts a safe floor with potential for a step forward this season. With one year under his belt and realistic expectations as a low-end WR2 (potentially 1,000 yards, eight touchdowns, and 14 points per game), Harrison is priced appropriately and does have sneaky upside this season. Drafters should view him as a high-upside value pick rather than have doubts about his production from last season.
Breece Hall (RB, New York Jets)
Breece Hall was a consensus RB2 in 2024 drafts, selected in the early rounds with expectations of being a workhorse back for the Jets. However, he finished as the RB11, a significant fall from his projected dominance. His ADP has slipped further for 2025, with concerns about a potential committee backfield under Aaron Glenn’s new offense. The emergence of younger back Braelon Allen and the Jets’ pairing with Justin Fields as quarterback adds complexity to Hall’s outlook.
The upside for Hall lies in improved rushing efficiency with Fields’ running threat and a Jets offensive line that can’t get much worse than last season. However, his receiving upside in half-PPR and PPR leagues has evaporated, as Fields is unlikely to target him out of the backfield, and Allen may compete for touches. Currently projected between RB16 and RB20, Hall’s ADP has drastically changed from 2024. Hall is appropriately priced, but is one of the biggest ADP fallers heading into 2025.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, Indianapolis Colts)
Michael Pittman Jr. was a fourth-round pick in 2024 (36th overall, WR17-18), but a down year saw him fail to meet expectations. Hampered by quarterback Anthony Richardson’s inaccuracy (completing under 10 passes per game) and a nagging back injury, Pittman still managed just under 70 receptions and over 800 yards, though his touchdown production was minimal. The Colts’ crowded receiver room, including Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell, and Josh Downs, plus new pass-catcher Tyler Warren and a run-heavy offense led by Jonathan Taylor, clouds his 2025 outlook.
For 2025, Pittman’s ADP has plummeted to around WR46 (10th round). Despite the challenges, his status as the Colts’ highest-paid receiver, his toughness (playing through injury), and potential for improved quarterback play (possibly with Daniel Jones) make him a compelling value. While touchdown upside remains capped, Pittman’s floor as a flex option with WR3 production makes him a low-risk dart throw at his current price.
Cooper Kupp (WR, Seattle Seahawks)
Cooper Kupp, once a fantasy darling after his 2021 triple crown season, has seen his ADP fall drastically following a trade to the Seahawks. Drafted high last season with hopes of a bounce-back, Kupp delivered inconsistent results, including a devastating playoff goose egg for some managers. His move to Seattle, where he’ll share the slot with rising star Jaxon Smith-Njigba (JSN), has further tanked his value. Kupp’s ADP now sits at WR46, reflecting skepticism about his fit in a system with Sam Darnold at quarterback.
The pairing of two slot receivers in Seattle’s offense raises concerns about target distribution, with JSN’s youth and upside likely prioritizing him over Kupp. At this stage, Kupp’s role may be reduced to a veteran mentor teaching routes and timing. For fantasy purposes, his days as a reliable starter appear over, and drafters are better off taking fliers on high-upside rookies in more dynamic offenses right around where Kupp is being drafted.
Isiah Pacheco (RB, Kansas City Chiefs)
Isiah Pacheco entered 2024 with high expectations as the Chiefs’ potential three-down back, especially after Jerrick McKinnon’s departure. Early performances suggested he could sneak into RB1 territory, but injuries derailed his season, hurting his explosiveness and efficiency. He lost third-down duties upon return, and his ADP has fallen significantly for 2025, now grouping him with backs like Jaylen Warren, Tyrone Tracy, and D’Andre Swift.
However, the Chiefs’ offseason moves signal confidence in Pacheco’s recovery. They added minimal competition, drafting Brashard Smith in the seventh round and signing Elijah Mitchell and Kareem Hunt. With an improved offensive line and a more dynamic downfield passing attack, Pacheco could reclaim 12-16 touches per game as the lead back in Andy Reid’s offense. His current ADP undervalues his potential to return to early-2024 form, making him a prime value pick for 2025 drafters willing to bet on his health and the Chiefs’ improved offensive play next season.
