Fantasy football managers know that every lineup decision can make or break a week, and choosing the right players to start or sit is where championships are won. With the 2025 NFL season underway, matchups, stats, and trends are more important than ever. From favorable matchups and scoring trends to players you should avoid in tough spots, my weekly positional start and sit guide is built to give you an edge.
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Wide Receivers to Start
Terry McLaurin WAS
Terry McLaurin enters Week 15 coming off a down performance against Minnesota, but that matchup was one of the toughest in football for opposing wide receivers. Even with the 7.1-point fantasy output, he still maintained strong involvement, earning six targets despite the game getting out of hand early and Jayden Daniels exiting. Since returning from injury, McLaurin has shown both a ceiling game and a lower-end game, signaling that his weekly role remains stable even if production fluctuates. His chemistry with Marcus Mariota has also been encouraging, as he scored at least 14.4 PPR points in both prior Mariota starts this season. McLaurin continues to dominate first-read usage, accounting for 28 percent of first-read targets since returning. Given the volume and stable role, he remains positioned well going into a much more favorable environment.
That matchup is exactly why he is a strong start this week, as he now faces the Giants, who rank third in most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. New York has allowed at least 12.9 PPR points to a receiver in every game this season and has struggled heavily against perimeter targets, giving up a top-eight passer rating on out-wide throws. Sixteen different receivers have crossed the 12.5-point threshold against them, which gives McLaurin a clear path to a bounce-back performance. His long-standing dominance against the Giants adds another layer of appeal, averaging 15.5 fantasy points per game in 12 career matchups. With Mariota again under center and the matchup heavily in his favor, McLaurin projects as a strong start and a high-end WR2 this week.
Jakobi Meyers JAC
Jakobi Meyers has stepped into a clear lead role for the Jaguars since being acquired, establishing himself as Trevor Lawrence’s most trusted target. Over his last three games, he has totaled 14 catches for 179 yards and three touchdowns on 22 targets, scoring at least 14.8 PPR points in each outing. Meyers has delivered steady production with strong efficiency, posting 2.29 yards per route run and a nearly 30 percent first-read share since Week 11. His red zone usage has also been notable, with six red zone targets across his past four games. Even in matchups where volume has been modest, his consistency inside scoring areas has kept his fantasy floor intact. Lawrence’s own words reinforce Meyers’ reliability, describing him as “an easy guy to throw to” with clear, predictable routes. Everything about his usage profile signals stability heading into Week 15.
That sets him up as a solid start this week against a Jets defense that has quietly been more vulnerable to perimeter receivers since Week 10. New York ranks 16th in PPR points per target allowed on the perimeter and just gave up a touchdown and 15 fantasy points to Jaylen Waddle last week. The Jaguars move Meyers around enough to avoid static matchups, and his ability to win underneath aligns well with how teams have successfully attacked the Jets recently. Meyers has scored at least 11 fantasy points in four straight games and has surpassed Brian Thomas Jr. as Lawrence’s go-to receiver. Given the recent production, the red zone involvement, and the matchup tilt, he profiles as a high-end WR2 and a confident fantasy football start.
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG
Wan’Dale Robinson has been one of the league’s most underrated receivers, emerging as Jaxson Dart’s top option in the passing game. Over his last five games, he has commanded 53 targets and scored at least 12.2 PPR points in three of them. His role has expanded significantly since November, averaging 10.6 targets per game with at least eight in every contest during that span. Robinson’s volume has been elite for a slot receiver, rooted in a 25.9 percent target share and a 30.9 percent first-read rate in Dart’s starts. His efficiency hasn’t suffered despite the heavy workload, as he continues to create separation at a high level and serve as the primary stabilizer of the Giants’ passing attack. He also showed dependable production back in Week 1 against Washington, despite that being a completely different offensive environment. Everything about his usage suggests his fantasy floor is as strong as it has been all season.
All of that makes him a strong start this week in a matchup against the Commanders, who sit ninth in most fantasy points allowed to receivers. Washington has struggled significantly against slot receivers specifically, ranking sixth-worst in PPR points per target allowed and giving up the third-most receiving yards to slot options since Week 10. Their defensive structure funnels high-percentage throws inside, which aligns perfectly with Robinson’s short-area and intermediate usage. With the Commanders consistently allowing volume-heavy games against WRs, Robinson carries both a strong floor and an elite ceiling in the fantasy playoffs. His rapport with Dart gives him a clear path to double-digit targets once again. He enters Week 15 as a high-end WR2 and a strong fantasy start across all formats.
Wide Receivers to Sit
Zay Flowers BAL
Zay Flowers enters Week 15 coming off a huge rebound performance, posting eight catches for 124 yards on 11 targets against Pittsburgh. His target share remains one of the strongest parts of his profile, as he ranks 11th among all wide receivers in target share this season. Despite the high involvement, touchdown production remains a major issue, with just one score all season and limited red zone usage. His previous matchup against Cincinnati was also one of his worst games of the year, as DJ Turner shadowed him into a 2-catch, 16-yard afternoon. Flowers has struggled against physical coverage at times, and Cincinnati’s game plan in the first meeting showed a clear willingness to remove him from the offense. The volume has been good, but his year-long trend of inefficient fantasy conversion is difficult to ignore. That overall volatility sets up a concerning outlook heading into this particular matchup.
That places Flowers firmly on the sit list this week, as Cincinnati is allowing the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers over the last five weeks. The Bengals have not allowed any WR to reach double digits in PPR across their last four games. DJ Turner has been one of the league’s most effective shadow corners this season, and he is expected to follow Flowers again. Even more troubling is that despite Cincinnati’s defense giving up big yardage between the 20s, opposing offenses simply avoid testing Turner, funneling production elsewhere. Flowers’ low touchdown total and limited red zone involvement give him almost no margin for error in this type of matchup. With the floor significantly outweighing the ceiling this week, he profiles as a sit in all but three-receiver formats.
Christian Watson GB
Christian Watson has been on a touchdown surge lately, finding the end zone five times in his past four games and serving as the Packers’ most explosive receiving threat. His underlying usage has remained stable during this stretch, earning a 21.6 percent target share and 61.8 receiving yards per game since Week 10. His yards per route run during that span sits at 2.49, reflecting strong efficiency when targeted. However, volume inconsistency persists, as he has been held under 60 yards in four of seven games since returning from his ACL injury. Watson still has five games this season with five or fewer targets, creating a volatile weekly profile. His big-play ability keeps him in the mix, but his reliance on touchdowns to produce meaningful fantasy scores is a concern. Against most opponents, his athleticism and role can overcome volatility, but this week brings a very different challenge.
That challenge makes him a sit this week, as he is expected to draw Patrick Surtain II in shadow coverage against Denver. Surtain is one of the toughest matchups in football and has only allowed 1 touchdown this year. Denver also uses two-high shells at one of the league’s highest rates, and Watson ranks second on the team in target share against two-high looks but still struggles for volume consistency. The Broncos have allowed the sixth-most yards to perimeter receivers since Week 8, but simultaneously the 14th-fewest PPR points per target, indicating that efficiency against them is limited despite yardage totals. Watson’s outlook becomes even riskier if Surtain follows him on more than 80 percent of his routes, which is the expectation this week. He remains a touchdown-dependent option and profiles as a sit.
Michael Pittman Jr IND
Michael Pittman Jr. enters Week 15 with uncertainty at quarterback, as the Colts could turn to Riley Leonard or newly signed Philip Rivers with Daniel Jones injured. His overall WR9 season is visually impressive, but the recent production trend tells a different story as the Indianapolis offense has regressed sharply. Pittman’s usage remains high, but the efficiency has cratered, and the offense has struggled to sustain drives with the injuries piling up. The fallout from Jones’ Achilles tear has significantly lowered Pittman’s floor, given the instability at the position. Even his high target games have led to middling fantasy outputs, as seen when Leonard fed him 10 targets but failed to convert them into meaningful production. The momentum of Indianapolis’ season has shifted rapidly, and the offensive structure no longer supports reliable WR1 fantasy scoring. All of this creates a challenging setup heading into Seattle.
That setup makes Pittman a clear sit in Week 15, as the Seahawks have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to receivers this season and have become one of the NFL’s most efficient pass defenses since Week 10. In that span, they’ve permitted a 49.7 passer rating and just a 46 percent completion rate to opposing wide receivers, both the best marks in the league. Seattle has surrendered only three WR touchdowns since Week 7 and has not allowed any receiver to reach 90 yards in seven straight games. Pittman’s production also collapsed the last time he faced a top defense, posting just 2.3 fantasy points against Houston. With quarterback uncertainty, a brutal matchup, and an offense trending in the wrong direction, his floor is too low for the fantasy playoffs. He profiles as a sit and should only be considered in deeper three-receiver formats.
