Fantasy football managers know that every lineup decision can make or break a week, and choosing the right players to start or sit is where championships are won. With the 2025 NFL season underway, matchups, stats, and trends are more important than ever. From favorable matchups and scoring trends to players you should avoid in tough spots, my weekly positional start and sit guide is built to give you an edge.
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Quarterbacks to Start
Jacoby Brissett ARI
Jacoby Brissett has completely exceeded expectations this season, going from an emergency replacement to a steady fantasy football contributor. Since taking over for Kyler Murray, he has delivered at least 18.7 fantasy points in seven straight games, showing remarkable consistency. During that stretch, he has averaged 21 fantasy points per game, putting him firmly in starter territory. His volume has been a major driver of this surge, as he has attempted 40 or more passes in four consecutive contests. Brissett has also produced in difficult matchups, scoring 24.7 points against Indianapolis, 23.8 against Green Bay, and 23.4 against Seattle. Even the potential absence of Marvin Harrison Jr. hasn’t slowed down his overall efficiency or usage. His weekly production and workload now make him one of the most reliable start options entering Week 14.
Brissett’s matchup against the Rams appears tough at first glance, but the underlying numbers tell a very different story. While Los Angeles ranks ninth in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks overall, they have struggled significantly in road games. Four of the six quarterbacks they’ve faced on the road scored at least 19.6 fantasy points, with only Cam Ward and a Lamar-less Ravens team failing to reach that threshold. Combined with Brissett’s passing volume and comfort in challenging spots, this is a stronger start matchup than most realize. Arizona will likely continue relying heavily on his arm, giving him the same reliable workload he’s thrived on for nearly two months. He deserves top-10 consideration this week and should be viewed as a clear start.
Jordan Love GB
Jordan Love has experienced one of the most roller-coaster fantasy football seasons, alternating between start and sit territory more than nearly any quarterback. His stats show why, as he has mixed high-ceiling blowups with inefficient stretches throughout the year. Coming off a strong Thanksgiving performance where he completed 18 of 30 attempts for 234 yards and four touchdowns, he appears to be trending upward again. Love has now scored at least 17.7 fantasy points in two of his last three games, showing signs of renewed stability. His underlying metrics are elite ranking third in yards, second in passing touchdowns, and first in EPA against man coverage and the blitz.
The Bears have allowed the fourth-most passing touchdowns and rank inside the top ten in fantasy points per game surrendered to quarterbacks. Three of the last five passers they’ve faced have scored at least 20.3 fantasy points, showing their vulnerability to capable offenses. Love’s previous success against Chicago only strengthens his outlook, with three games of 22.2 or more fantasy points in four career starts. His recent efficiency and the scoring environment both point toward another productive fantasy football performance. With the matchup working in his favor, Love belongs firmly in the start conversation as a low-end QB1. He carries both a safe floor and the upside to deliver another multi-touchdown outing
Sam Darnold SEA
Sam Darnold has been up and down the entire season, but the underlying numbers show he’s a high-quality quarterback when given the right opportunities. He’s thrown for 242.8 yards per game with 19 touchdowns on the season and ranks top 10 in passing yards, money throws, and dangerous plays. Showcasing strong production this season, the problem in fantasy has been the volume, as he is only averaging 27 passing attempts per game this year. The lack of volume has resulted in three of his last four games going under 5 points, with his lone strong outing of that stretch going for 18 against the Titans.
Darnold gets a dream bounce-back spot against the Falcons, who have struggled against the pass all season. Since Week 9, they’ve allowed the third-most passing yards per game and top-10 marks in yards per attempt. Seattle confirmed his minor ankle issue from last week isn’t expected to limit him this Sunday, so he should be full go. Atlanta also struggles against quarterbacks who can throw accurately and push the ball downfield, which fits Darnold perfectly. His efficiency on play-action (60.4% catchable) and deep balls (56.5% catchable) makes him even more dangerous in this matchup. With the matchup and efficiency all in his favor, Darnold is a must-start QB1 and a top streaming option for Week 14.
Quarterbacks to Sit
Caleb Williams CHI
Caleb Williams has had a frustrating mix of highs and lows this season, making him difficult to rely on in fantasy football. He is coming off an 11.5-point performance against Philadelphia, marking his second straight disappointing road outing after scoring just 10.3 points in Minnesota. As a rookie last year, he posted 16.2 or fewer fantasy points in both matchups with Green Bay, and those struggles could resurface here. Despite improvement this season, Williams still shows volatility in key metrics that impact weekly consistency. He ranks 34th in highly accurate throw rate and 39th in catchable target rate, where he is leaving plenty of opportunities on the table. He has finished as the QB20 or lower six times, reflecting his unstable weekly floor. His production swings dramatically based on matchup quality, and this is not the environment where he typically succeeds.
This matchup against Green Bay is a significant concern for fantasy football managers, as the Packers have been one of the league’s toughest pass defenses since Week 9. They have allowed the second-fewest passing yards per game and are tied for the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed in that span. The Packers also rank top 10 in passer rating allowed. Williams’ floor has been dangerously low, scoring fewer than 12 fantasy points in five of his last nine games. Even worse, he has thrown one or zero touchdown passes in seven of those contests. Between the defensive matchup and his inconsistent accuracy metrics, this projects as another sit-worthy performance. Outside of Superflex formats, Williams should not be trusted in Week 14 fantasy football lineups.
Justin Herbert LAC
Justin Herbert enters Week 14 in a difficult situation, making him a risky option for fantasy football lineups. He recently underwent surgery on his broken left hand, and although it’s his non-throwing hand, the injury still affects his comfort and durability. Herbert’s production had already dipped before the injury, as he had scored 16.8 fantasy points or fewer in three straight games. The offensive line around him has struggled, leading to 16 sacks over his last four contests. With increased quick-passing and limited downfield opportunities, his fantasy ceiling has taken a noticeable hit. The uncertainty surrounding his health makes it even harder to trust Herbert this week. Given all the variables in play, he profiles much more as a sit than a start this week.
His matchup only adds to the concern, as the Eagles have developed into one of the toughest pass defenses in the league since Week 9. Their defense has tightened significantly, allowing a league-low 51 percent completion rate and generating consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. With Herbert dealing with a compromised offensive line and limited mobility due to the injury, this becomes an even more challenging spot. The risk of a late-week change at quarterback further complicates his viability in one-QB leagues. Fantasy football managers cannot afford a near-zero outcome in a crucial week, and this matchup makes that a real possibility. Herbert should be benched in standard formats and considered only in Superflex leagues.
Daniel Jones IND
Daniel Jones has delivered solid fantasy football outings in recent weeks, scoring 16 points in back-to-back tough matchups. Jones has now gone four straight weeks without a 20-point performance despite maintaining a high floor with none of those games dropping below 14 points. However, his current physical limitations are a concern, as he continues to manage a fractured fibula that has eliminated his rushing threat. Last week, he finished with just one rushing yard, signaling that his mobility is essentially gone. Since Week 9, Jones ranks as the QB16 in fantasy points per game, with mid-tier marks in most passing efficiency stats. With his recent decline in production, his fantasy utility has become far more matchup-dependent.
Unfortunately for Jones, this week’s matchup against Jacksonville presents more challenges than opportunities. The Jaguars have transformed defensively since their Week 8 bye, generating pressure on 39 percent of dropbacks, the eighth-highest rate in the NFL. Their pass defense has been especially stingy since Week 9, allowing the fourth-fewest yards per attempt, the 12th-lowest CPOE, and the 11th-lowest success rate per dropback. Although Jacksonville has benefited from facing shaky quarterbacks like Geno Smith, Davis Mills, and Cam Ward, they have still performed at a consistently strong level. Jones’ lack of mobility makes him far more vulnerable to pressure, which amplifies the risk in this matchup. This projects as an average spot at best for fantasy production, but his current limitations lower his ceiling even further. He should be viewed as a sit in Week 14 and avoided in one-QB leagues.
