Best and Worst Matchups: Week 10 (Fantasy Football)

Week 10 is here, and fantasy managers are juggling injuries, bye weeks, and unpredictable production. From tight ends struggling for targets to wide receivers in prime spots, this slate is full of opportunities and pitfalls. We break down the best and worst matchups to help you set your lineup with confidence.

Quarterback

Best: QB Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

Jared Goff is putting together yet another impressive season for the Detroit Lions. While he may not be a household fantasy name week after week, he is an elite streamer with the right matchup.

Goff has the second-highest completion percentage in the NFL (73.8%), fourth-highest QB rating (115.2), and is tied for the third most passing TDs (17). Now, he takes on a reeling Commanders pass defense in Week 10, allowing an average of 21.4 fantasy points per game to QBs (fourth-highest) and the fourth-most passing yards per game (253.6). 

Goff has thrown for multiple touchdowns in four of his last five games. I would not expect that trend to stop this week against a Commanders team that’s allowed the fifth-most passing TDs in the league. 

Worst: QB Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Despite coming off a string of strong performances, capped off by a 21.2-point outing last week against the Raiders, Trevor Lawrence faces a gruesome fantasy matchup this weekend. The Texans are the stingiest defense in the league against quarterbacks, limiting signal callers to a league-low 12.5 fantasy points per game. 

Lawrence failed to throw a touchdown for the second time this season last week, and while his surprising rushing output has been encouraging, his sub-60% completion rate and 9-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio don’t justify a consistent starting role in fantasy.

Not to mention, the Jaguars’ wide receiver room is in flux, with Travis Hunter on IR and Brian Thomas Jr. nursing a high ankle sprain. While the Jaguars did trade for Jakobi Meyers yesterday, that connection will take time to develop. Look elsewhere for help at the QB position this week. 

Running Back

Best: RB Kyle Monangai, Chicago Bears

Bears rookie RB Kyle Monangai took full advantage of the absence of D’Andre Swift (groin) in Week 9. The 7th-round selection out of Rutgers took 26 rushes for 176 yards on the ground and added 3 receptions for 22 yards, good enough to finish as the RB3 overall in Week 9. 

Now he draws a leaky Giants defense that has been porous against the run all season, allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to running backs (24.9). With Swift’s timetable to return uncertain, there is potential that he sits out an extra week to allow additional time to recover, paving the way for another potential stellar performance from Monangai. 

Even if Swift does return, expect Ben Johnson to continue to involve the rookie in a Bears offense averaging the second-most rushing yards per game.

Worst: RB Breece Hall, New York Jets

Breece Hall exploded in Week 8, ripping off 31.86 fantasy points in Half-PPR formats ahead of the Jets Week 9 bye. He took 18 rushes for 133 yards and 2 TDs, while adding 2 receptions for 14 yards through the air. It was Hall’s best performance of the year, but don’t expect that success to continue into Week 10. 

The Jets draw a highly unfavorable matchup this week, facing a Cleveland Browns defense that has bottled up running backs all year. The Browns allow the second-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs (13.6) and the ninth-least rushing yards per game overall (94.3). 

Hall’s volume keeps him in the flex conversation, but he’s best left on the bench unless bye weeks leave you desperate.

Wide Receiver

Best: WR Wan’Dale Robinson, New York Giants

With Cam Skattebo and Malik Nabers sidelined, Wan’Dale Robinson has emerged as the Giants’ top playmaker, leading the team in both targets (11) and receptions (9) last week. He’s caught at least six passes in five of nine games, giving him one of the steadiest floors in PPR formats. 

While most of his production comes on short routes, Robinson’s consistent target share from Jaxson Dart keeps him firmly in the fantasy mix. Now, he draws a dream matchup against a Chicago defense that ranks bottom-7 against the pass and allows the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers, making him a strong Week 10 flex option. 

Worst: WR D.K. Metcalf, Pittsburgh Steelers

D.K. Metcalf has mostly played the part as WR1 for the Pittsburgh Steelers, commanding a 20% target share, and leading all Pittsburgh pass catchers with 47 targets. Still, he hasn’t been the steady WR2 you’d expect weekly from a fantasy perspective.

Despite a highly favorable matchup last week, Metcalf delivered a dud performance, converting 2 of 4 targets for a measly 6 yards. Now he faces the Chargers, who have allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game (177.1) to opposing offenses, and the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

Most of Metcalf’s production has been touchdown-dependent — he has five touchdowns in eight games, but he’s been held to 50 yards or fewer in half of his contests. The Chargers allow the second-least passing touchdowns per game, setting up Metcalf with the potential to deliver another disappointing performance.

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Tight End

Best: TE Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans

Dalton Schultz is frustratingly up-and-down, capable of a big game one week and disappearing the next. After posting 18.8 points in Week 7, he scored just 4.4 despite the absence of Nico Collins and Christian Kirk — then bounced back with 13.7 points when C.J. Stroud exited early last week. 

With bye season in full swing, tight-end-needy fantasy managers have few options. Davis Mills’ expected reliance on check-downs sets Schultz up for volume, and a matchup against a Jaguars defense that allows the second-most fantasy points to tight ends gives him a chance to deliver fringe TE1 numbers — just don’t expect it to be pretty.

Worst: TE Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens

This is less about the matchup and more about Andrews’ concerning usage. Mark Andrews’ 16.6-point performance last week felt nice, but I doubt it is sustainable. Both of his receptions were for touchdowns, and he saw only three targets on 13 routes for the second straight game, trailing Isiah Likely. His 16.7% target share this season is his lowest outside of last year’s 15.3%, and a clear sign his role in Baltimore is shrinking.

Last season, a touchdown streak masked his declining volume (he scored in all but two games from Week 6 on), but this year, there’s no hiding it. The Vikings are middle of the pack against tight ends, allowing 12 fantasy points per game, but the matchup won’t matter if Andrews isn’t on the field or getting looks. Fantasy managers should temper expectations — he’s no longer the reliable TE1 he once was.

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Wes Maxwell
Wes Maxwell

Fantasy Football Writer for Blitz Sports Media