Players Trending Up & Down: Week 3 Edition

Chicago hung 59 points on the Panthers in Week 1, the kind of loss that buries a young quarterback’s confidence for a month. Young erased it in six days. He threw for 287 yards and three touchdowns and added a rushing score in a 34-3 rout at Atlanta, a game in which Carolina’s defense forced five turnovers and held the Falcons to three points. Across two weeks, Young has thrown for 648 yards with six touchdown passes against one interception, added two rushing touchdowns, and built a 113.3 passer rating. The schedule cooperates in Week 3: Carolina travels to Cleveland, a defense that just gave up 95 yards and a touchdown catch-and-run to Browns receiver Denzel Boston. Young looks like a streamer worth rostering, not one worth chasing off the wire after the fact. He is still available in a large share of leagues, and the two-game body of work now outweighs the ugly opening score.

Harrison’s trend line is the most alarming of the seven. Arizona traded its starting quarterback, Kyler Murray, to Minnesota this offseason and handed the job to Jacoby Brissett, and the drop-off shows in Harrison’s target sheet. He caught one pass for 33 yards in Week 1. In Week 2, a 31-7 loss at Seattle, he ran 31 routes on 74% of Arizona’s snaps and drew a single target all game, a throwaway thrown at his feet that he had no chance to catch. He finished with zero receptions, the worst statistical game of his career. Through two weeks he has one catch on four targets across 68 routes run, while tight end Trey McBride caught eight of 10 targets in that same Seattle loss. Arizona’s coaching staff has pointed to personnel groupings rather than a benching, but the target competition from McBride and the downgrade at quarterback are both real, and neither shows signs of reversing before Arizona visits San Francisco in Week 3. A first-round receiver drawing one target in a full game is not a scheme quirk. It is a player a coordinator has stopped looking for.

Hockenson’s raw line, seven catches on nine targets for 65 yards and a touchdown across two games, undersells what happened in Minnesota’s passing game. Kyler Murray, the quarterback the Vikings acquired this offseason to run their offense, took a hit in the first quarter of Week 1 against Green Bay and left with a concussion. Minnesota rallied to win that game 39-22 behind Carson Wentz, who then started all of Week 2, a 9-3 win at Chicago. Hockenson still drew four targets in that game and caught three of them. Murray has moved through the concussion protocol on schedule and is expected to clear it before Week 3 against Tampa Bay. That timing matters: Minnesota spent training camp building a red-zone rapport between Murray and Hockenson, and a tight end who held his target share through a full-game emergency start gets his intended quarterback back this week. The floor looks solid on target volume alone. The ceiling arrives with Murray, and a Tampa Bay defense that has not faced a healthy version of this passing game yet.

Mayfield’s Week 3 problem starts on the other side of the ball he’s about to face: Hockenson and a Minnesota passing game that just got its intended quarterback back. Tampa Bay sits at 0-2. Mayfield completed 20 of 31 passes for 176 yards with a touchdown and an interception, added three carries for 26 yards, and still lost to Cleveland in Week 2, a result that dropped the Buccaneers into their current hole. The offense has not found rhythm through two weeks, and the Week 2 interception underscored a unit still searching for answers. Minnesota’s defense just held Chicago to three points, and a Vikings pass rush facing a struggling Tampa Bay offensive line is a bad matchup for a quarterback trying to find his footing. Mayfield stays a low-end streamer at best until the offense shows something different, and bye weeks or not, most rosters have a better Week 3 option sitting on the bench already.

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One carry for three yards in Week 1 summed up Bigsby’s role behind Saquon Barkley. Week 2 looked nothing like it. He carried 13 times for 33 yards and a touchdown, added two catches for five yards, and helped close out a 24-20 win over Tennessee that Jalen Hurts finished with a game-winning drive. Bigsby out-touched fellow backup Will Shipley 15-9 in that game, settling a depth-chart question that lingered through camp. The bigger storyline is Barkley himself, who left Week 2 with a stinger, wore a neck roll on the sideline, and returned to finish the game. He looked well enough to play through it, but a stinger belongs on every fantasy manager’s watch list until a player proves it’s behind him. Bigsby stands to gain the most from any reduction in Barkley’s workload, and he draws a Bears defense in Week 3 that will face its own backup quarterback, undrafted rookie Tyson Bagent, after Caleb Williams’ hamstring injury. Philadelphia should control this game on the ground. Bigsby’s roster rate sat near 29% after Week 2, a number that undersells the role he just claimed and one worth closing before Monday night kickoff.

Pitts has caught one pass for 15 yards on four targets across two games, his quietest stretch since he entered the league. Atlanta’s passing offense has produced almost nothing through two weeks. Kirk Cousins has started while Michael Penix Jr. works back from a torn ACL suffered last November, and Carolina routed the Falcons 34-3 at home in Week 2, forcing five turnovers. One variable is worth flagging before anyone benches Pitts outright: Penix has been a full practice participant, is eligible to be activated, and multiple reports have him targeting Thursday night at Green Bay, Atlanta’s Week 3 game, for his season debut. A different arm and a faster tempo at quarterback could be what an underused tight end needs. It is also a short week for a player who has not taken a live snap since November, and that rust is a real risk on the other side of the ledger. Hold Pitts. The swing factor in his outlook wears a different jersey number, and it will show up on Thursday, not before.

Coleman played nine total snaps in his NFL debut in Week 1. Seven days later, he carried the ball 10 times for 39 yards and a touchdown, caught three passes for 19 yards, and helped Denver beat Jacksonville 20-13. It was his first NFL score. The timing lines up with an injury crunch in Denver’s backfield: RJ Harvey was already dealing with a hamstring issue, and starter J.K. Dobbins added his own hamstring injury during that same Week 2 win. Denver’s coaching staff has viewed Coleman as the better pass-catcher of the group, which puts him in line for a larger share of an already thin backfield. He gets the Rams in Week 3, and a coaching staff that just watched him produce has no reason to pull back his workload now. Coleman sat on waiver wires in roughly 96% of leagues heading into this week, which makes him one of the cheapest ways to buy a share of a backfield that just lost its top two options for at least a portion of Sunday’s game.

The Bottom Line

Two games alone don’t settle much, but they separate role changes from noise. Murray’s concussion, Barkley’s stinger, Penix’s ACL rehab, and Arizona’s quarterback swap sit behind most of this list, and each one matters more than any single box score. Check Wednesday’s injury reports before setting Week 3 lineups. Several of these seven stories could shift again before kickoff, and the ones tied to a name other than the player’s own, Murray for Hockenson, Barkley for Bigsby, Penix for Pitts, are the ones worth checking twice.

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Nicholas P. McCandless
Nicholas P. McCandless